嘉中校友全聯會: 本周要聞

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2016年5月28日星期六

2016年2月3日星期三

共和、民主兩黨在外交政策上之別

Basic Difference betw. Republicans & Democrats-共和、民主兩黨在外交政策上之別

Reps are from the heart; Demts are from the head

共和黨意氣之爭；民主黨訴諸理智

“There is a wisdom of the head,” Charles Dickens wrote, “and a wisdom of the heart.” Judging by the evidence of the last few weeks, those two wisdoms are running against each other in the U.S. presidential election, particularly when it comes to foreign policy.

Of course, head versus heart is a political battle that dates back to Plato at least. Over the long term we know it always results in a stalemate, usually somewhere around the jugular vein. Effective governance ultimately needs to both inspire the population and function in reality. But in the short term, the head/heart distinction may be the key to understanding the appeal of various candidates and the contours of the general election.

The Brainiac 絕頂聰明者

Head wisdom seeks to persuade through analysis and facts. Hillary Clinton’s testimony before the House Select Committee on Benghazi was a display of head wisdom—though also, undeniably, stamina—in its finest form. A fair share of the media coverage pointed to her “calm demeanor,” “measured tones,” and “clear knowledge of foreign policy questions.” Detailed answers, impeccable logic—all wrapped in enough figures and bureaucratic jargon (“CODEL,” ISAT process,” “QDDR,” “ARB reports,” “SVTS”) to send policy wonks into paroxysms of joy.

And so, particularly after her performance in the October 13 Democratic debate and in front of the Benghazi committee, she is the clear frontrunner in the Democratic (head) primary. But it is a safe bet that not many made it through all 11 hours of testimony and few found inspiration in any of it.

The excitables易被激怒者

Last night’s Republican debate was a very different affair. Republicans—and particularly the frontrunners Donald Trump and Ben Carson—aren’t really running on any specific policies, even if they do allude to a few. They are seeking to appeal at a different level. The wisdom of the heart seeks to motivate through emotion and inspiration.

But facts don’t appeal to the wisdom of the heart. Vague anger and frustration does. So, Trump lamented, “Our country doesn't win anymore. We used to win, we don't win anymore. We lose on trade. We lose with ISIS. We lose with one of the worst deals I've ever seen negotiated of any kind, that's our recent catastrophe with Iran. We don't win.”

The Republicans in general, as the opposition party, are seeking to tap into a broad albeit inchoate sense of anger at the political establishment. Donald Trump especially is pure heart wisdom—his supporters struggle to even explain in policy terms why they like him. The winner of the Republican (heart) primary will carry that emotional banner into the general election, but whoever wins will struggle to convince the broader electorate of his or her competence.

Internal struggle內部爭論

There wasn’t much foreign policy in last night’s debate but it may end up being the key terrain where head and heart conflict in the general election. Polls suggest that foreign policy experts and the general public also tend to disagree along head/heart (respectively) lines. More experts than the general public tend to support increasing immigration to the United States, for instance, and fewer experts than the general public fear a U.S. war with Russia or China. Previous research has shown that the public tends to think it is “very important” for the United States to be tough with China on the economy and trade; experts, in contrast, are much more likely to favor building a mutually beneficial relationship with China.

President Obama has, on issue after issue, given the public the foreign policy their heads claim to want. He has pulled back from wars in the Middle East and sought to avoid further entanglements there. He has privileged working with allies and using sanctions and diplomacy with Iran and Russia. When he has used force, as against ISIS, he has done so in a way that spared American soldiers and avoided extended commitments. But in satisfying their heads, President Obama seems to have lost their hearts.

The growing sense of chaos in the world has fed a sense of insecurity, which even if not entirely rational, is laid at the feet of the president. In their hearts, the American people crave an overall sense of safety and security. Most of the Republican candidates have sought to profit from the vague sense of fear. Trump explicitly blamed Obama’s leadership for this predicament: “By the way, unlike our country where we're totally predictable and the enemy, whether it's ISIS or anybody else, they know exactly what we're doing because we have the wrong leadership.” Chris Christie, taking a similarly alarmist tone, declared: “We have ISIS and al-Qaida attacking us.” He wants to “get the government to do what they're supposed to be doing, secure our borders, protect our people.”

At the same time, in their heads, the public still seems to want to avoid the types of painful, costly commitments that American leadership in promoting global stability would seem to demand. The contradiction created will pose a challenge for both candidates of the head and the heart.

Who will tell the people? 誰願對民眾誠實以告?

Unsurprisingly, as policy wonks, we are head people. We get that Donald Trump isn’t the only one who doesn’t know the difference between the Quds and the Kurds—most Americans don’t either, and it’s not unreasonable to fear what you don’t know. So whoever wins the presidency will need to find a way to comfort the heart as well as to satisfy the head. But ultimately pandering to heartfelt—rather than brain-felt—fears can lead to rash, vague, or just bad policy prescriptions. Real leadership involves leveling with the public about what U.S. foreign policy can really achieve in a world that is often beyond American control—something we have seen precious little in this campaign. In politics, the heart usually wins; in policy, the head always does. (政治上，感情常嬴；政策上，理智獲勝。

· By: Jeremy Shapiro

Jeremy Shapiro was a fellow in the Project on International Order and Strategy and the Center on the United States and Europe at Brookings. He was also the editor of the Foreign Policy program's blog Order from Chaos, a how-to guide for managing the end of the Post-Cold War Era. Prior to re-joining Brookings, he was a member of the U.S. State Department’s policy planning staff, where he advised the secretary of state on U.S. policy in North Africa and the Levant.

Justin Lai 選自網路

Comment (by Editor) : heart Vs. head

When you love someone, you could love him/her with all your heart, not all your head. When you are in confusion, use your head not your heart. When you apologize to someone, you say you are sorry from the bottom of your heart instead of your head. Someone might steal your heart, not your head. Keep your head rather than your heart when faced with a risk. When breaks his head, he might have a concussion. You leave someone for she breaks your heat. When someone stole your heart and cheat on you, you sang a broken-hearted melody. He looks at the pretty lady from head to toe, not from heart to toe. When you don’t understand something, you say you can’t make head or tail of it.

Dear friends: head or heart? heart or head? It’s interesting and amusing, isn’t it?

02/24/2016

2015年12月10日星期四

竹科FOR SALE 的真相

竹科FOR SALE 真相大追蹤

11月起，我們的Line裡，不斷傳出各家將分拆整併的訊息，聽說，這群世界第一的公司，想賣的人遠比買的多！

董事會的必備話題多是「如何賣出好價錢」，當竹科正在大拍賣，台灣，將剩下什麼？

場景一：11月6日，竹科人手機上的Line「有多少IC設計高層探詢出售可能？」「一半的上市櫃公司都來問」了。一位穿梭兩岸十多年的中介業者說...

第四季，竹科內的半導體產業求售的傳言，在市場「嘩」的一下傳開。竹科（新竹科學園區），竟然正在「拍賣中」。

它是台灣的傳奇，科技新貴這個名詞發源於此。過去，只要努力工作15年，不到40歲就能賺到一輩子財富的例子太多，因此，這裡吸納全台灣最優秀的人才，每10人就有3人是博士，平均收入全台最高。

它也是全世界的傳奇，2005年，美國《商業週刊》以「Why Taiwan Matters」（台灣為什麼重要）為封面故事主題，提到從台北內湖到竹科這70公里內的高科技公司，足以影響全世界IT產品出貨，這讓台灣成為隱藏版的世界經濟中心。

如果說，這個中心是由占台灣上市櫃公司五三％市值的電子公司所組成。那麼，環繞著IC設計公司出發的半導體業，就是「世界中心的心臟」。它們是全台灣最符合知識經濟的高含金量產業，不靠設備投資，不用中國生產人力，而是靠自己的腦袋，設計出一個個用在電腦與手機內的晶片。

現在，「心臟」竟然要開賣？

11月6日，大半竹科人的手機陸續跳出一則Line訊息。這個訊息指出，聯發科和全球最大的液晶電視晶片廠商聯詠，將去收購全球網路通訊晶片龍頭瑞昱。雖然事後證實是謠言，但是，傳言中的主角都是世界第一的企業，他們的股價曾動輒2、300元，至今仍在獲利，而且全球IT產業仍在成長。這些收購訊息背後。有什麼我們不知道的真相？這道高科技業最重要的防線，真的會崩解？台灣該怎麼辦？我們展開追蹤調查，先讓量化數據告訴我們真相。

我們追蹤一個多月，得到的第一個結論是：沒錯，這是個集體求售的現象。

先聽中間人們的說法。

穿梭兩岸十多年，引薦過十多家IC設計公司給中資的中介業者說，11月起，他幾乎每天都會接到台灣晶片設計公司高層的電話，主要就問兩個問題：「有沒有門路找到中國買家？」「怎麼聯絡趙偉國（清華紫光董事長）？」

他說，一半的IC設計上市櫃公司，近兩個月都向他探詢過出售可能。

安侯建業會計事務所旗下的畢馬威財務諮詢董事總經理鄭傑文說，過去10年，他做的幾乎都是買公司的生意，「現在來找我們，要賣的占7、8成以上。」「我才剛安排一組人（指買家與賣家）會面，還有一些類比IC設計公司賣相太差，賣的timing（時間點）已經過了，我直接回絕，」另一位擅長操作購併案的金融業副總說。

再聽賣方怎麼說。

我們向十間目前仍是、或曾是台灣第一，甚至世界第一的IC設計公司發言人、財務長或投資人窗口詢問，是否曾在一到兩年內，討論過關於購併或出售的行動？10間公司中有6間大方坦承，公司確實討論過此事。

一位在近兩年內，選擇將自己公司出售的IC設計業董事長說，他看不到未來會更好的可能，所以選在現在，把表現仍亮眼，每年每股盈餘（EPS）動輒破十元的公司，趁好時機賣掉。另一位同樣賣掉自己公司的董事長說：「大家想法都差不多，因為這個（指整併）已經是顯學了。」

網路消息

12/10/2015

2015年12月9日星期三

Photos of the day -當日要聞圖片

Photos of the day -當日要聞圖片

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

倫敦聖保羅大教堂的唱詩班

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

氣溫1度C的莫斯科晨曦

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

小海豹

印度回教婦女曬辣椒

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

聯邦調查局頭子在國會作證

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

紐約市議會發言人回應川普驅逐美國境內猶太人的回應

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

二次大戰美國B-29轟炸機機員參觀戰爭博物館

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

韓國水族館中著聖誕老人的潛水伕

Photos of the day - December 9, 2015

可怕的北京沙塵

South Sinai Governor Khaled Fouda, Coptic Christian priests, and a member of the Russian embassy in Egypt attend a mass mourning the victims and...

South Sinai Governor Khaled Fouda, Coptic Christian priests, and a member of the Russian embassy in Egypt attend a mass mourning the victims and...

追悼蘇俄班機罹難人員

File photo of Israeli police leading away a Palestinian minor they said stabbed an Israeli security guard in Pisgat Zeev

以色列警察護送一名巴勒斯坦小孩離開

A cultural dance group waits to perform at Gambela stadium during Ethiopia's Nations and Nationalities Festival in Gambela town in Ethiopia