美國生活點滴-41
【旁觀中、美之爭與世界新秩序】-1
〈前言〉:
近幾月來中美兩國之爭,包括武漢肺炎(Cov-19)、南海主權、華為5G、兩國貿易逆差、香港國安法、日本問題、臺灣問題………等等。這些問題錯綜複雜,絕非在談判桌上用談判(negotiation) 、妥協(compromise) 或讓步(concession) 就可以輕易解決。而難得一見的是,兩國之爭大部分是美國主動(taking the initiative). 甚至有點挑釁意味(provocative). 至於誰是誰非? 不好判斷。沒有和事佬(peacemaker) ,沒有仲裁(arbitrators),也不可能有,因為它們是當下世界二大強國(superpowers). 兩者所爭不外乎:「誰才是老大? 」-Who is the boss? (誰がボスですか?) 但兩強之間難為小,世界其他國家必然因大國之爭,多少受到衝擊(impact) ,整個世界秩序也可能隨之改變,這可能是1945二次大戰後首度的世界重大激變(drastic change).
![1974中越南海之战:邓小平复出后指挥的第一个军事行动_中国海军](data:image/jpeg;base64,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)
〈本文〉:
中美兩國之紛爭,起先是貿易逆差問題。其實美國與其他國家之類似問題早已發生。例如從前臺、美之間,美國不時以301條款報復臺灣的傾銷,逼臺灣不得不退讓。自從40多年中、美建交以來,以港、台投資為主的中國生產業,蓬勃發展,大量外銷美國,每年賺取不少外匯迄今,形成巨大逆差。但這與美國人的不爭氣也有關,因為他們把大部分生產設備遷到大陸,或投資大陸,自己連國內的根都放棄。現在情況激變,目前美、日兩國政府紛紛斥資,鼓勵他們廠商自大陸遷回本國。此舉一來對大陸的中、小企業可能影響不小。
![華為5G:美國允許企業合作制定技術標凖有何考量- BBC News 中文](https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/410/cpsprodpb/1507E/production/_112924168_0d666532-49c4-4690-8db8-a5eb598ce283.jpg)
![華為5G:美國允許企業合作制定技術標凖有何考量- BBC News 中文](https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/410/cpsprodpb/1507E/production/_112924168_0d666532-49c4-4690-8db8-a5eb598ce283.jpg)
此次武漢病毒的起源及處置,有太多疑點恐難釐清。中國把病因帰於美國人實在牽強。而隱瞞病情,導致全球數十萬人病故,更屬不當。且病情暴發前,中國已派人在全球大量搜購口罩及醫護用品,是不爭的事實。先前中國製造的N-95口罩,外銷美國—只賣$0.5美元,等到美國疫情爆發,中國人搜購後再回銷美國時,售價變成$17.00美元! 怎能讓美國人不發怒?
南海主權問題與歷史有關,隨著國力的增強,中國想要分一杯羹,但與不少國家産生衝突,包括美國、日本、菲律賓、越南……. 等國。當然小國敢怒不敢言,但首當其衝的老大-美國,眼看自己在西太平洋的領導地位,有被取代的危險時,自然出面干涉,於是衝突發生。
華為的興起,以其亷價優勢,搶先佔據世界市場並成功地在全球佈局,有逐漸領先、取代美國IT及其他科技產業的可能,這是美國極不願看到的事實。但因半導體晶片取得被封殺,鋒茫稍挫,只得積極向臺灣科技公司挖角,充實實力。
香港國安法的落實,主要針對香港民主主義抬頭,以及習大大有意整頓,中國太子幫、官二代、江澤民餘黨在香港的為所欲為。但此舉不但扼殺了香港的民主、違背鄧小平五十年不變的承諾,也使一些西方國家喪失了許多利益。至此香港地位已成「一國一制」,形同大陸的一個城市。自由港的國際地位盡失。
![](https://6.share.photo.xuite.net/peggyss/169101b/20199581/1169712254_l.jpg)
![](https://6.share.photo.xuite.net/peggyss/169101b/20199581/1169712254_l.jpg)
日本問題與釣魚島之爭有關。中國與臺灣步調一致,聲稱該島自古即屬中國。但日本單方面改將該島公然改名,並將其隸屬於地力行政區域。無異併吞,「是可忍,孰不可忍」?臺灣敢怒不敢言,但中國不敢出兵強佔,美、日正「吃剩飯等待」
臺灣問題,自兩蔣時代,歷經李登輝總統迄今,仍然未決。但臺灣地位之重要短期內逐漸浮現。是中國衝破美國防禦性第一島鍊的重要出口。更是中、美爭奪作為極重要核子潛艇之基地。因此美、台關係逐漸提升,中國若眼睜睜看它獨立,則新疆、西藏、香港也將仿效,中國如何處置? 武統臺灣?代價頗高,也不一定有把握,尤其中、美之爭白熱化後………。(未完)
Justin Lai
08/12/2020
沒有留言:
張貼留言